"Every man thinks meanly of himself for not having been a soldier, or not having been at sea." ~ Samuel Johnson
The Club is one of the most genial places on the internet. You must not mention golf or fish, however, and if the motion is carried at the next meeting, you will not be allowed to mention wireless either.
Tuesday, May 31, 2011
Sam Johnson got this one right.
Monday, May 30, 2011
While we are on the subject of Warren Buffett (sort of)
A wise man will hear and increase in learning, and a man of understanding will acquire wise counsel.
The less a man makes declarative statements, the less apt he is to look foolish in retrospect.
I don't particularly care about the legitimacy of the empiricist (aka positivist) method of economics, why the average person should study economics and certainly I'm not interested in discussing the minutiae around the boundaries for proper economic applicability.
More limited claims would have been less obviously problematic.
And don't drive like my brother
Sunday, May 29, 2011
Well, yes. Everything's political.
Merry Madrigals
I'm not much of a music snob mostly since I don't have the musical ability to be so. But I do find that the music which I enjoy more than almost any other and find most impressive does tend to be older music. I don't want to say that all the music of today is crap, though a lot is, but I think it ends up being a lot like literature to some degree. The good stuff of yesteryear has been shaken out and preserved and a lot of the chaff is blown away in the winds of time. (Such metaphors!)
Saturday, May 28, 2011
Fermat's Last Theorem and the a priori approach to economics
To my shame, I don’t remember the exact quote or which of the Austrian economists said it, but a wise Austrian economist once stated that economics is necessarily the business of every person. This is because every human action is based upon a choice, and that choice assigns value, and this subjective valuation is the heart of economics. Every human action therefore is an economic action. And who would deny that our daily bread comes to us through the economy, paid for by our participation in the economy? Economics, then, could be said to be the essence of life on earth. With that in mind, I offer these thoughts on economic methodology.
I was watching a show about Fermat’s Last Theorem, and of course I thought about Austrian economics. Well, there was a little more to it than that. In trying to explain why a computer could not be used to prove a mathematical theorem, a mathematician gave the example of a computer testing 100 numbers in the given equation, or 1,000, or 1,000,000: how much closer are you to having tested every number? You need a human mind to set out a proof that explains why it is logically impossible for the equation to work, because with infinite potential inputs, you cannot eliminate them one by one, no matter how fast you’re computing.
The same problem arises when trying to use empiricism in describing human interaction, such as economics: no matter how much data you accumulate, you can attempt to test economic models without logical proofs, but there will always be more relevant data than you can factor into the model, or measure with your test, and you will find yourself in the unenviable position of backtesting and endlessly tweaking various hypotheses (models). Empiricism is destined to fail in economics, because it is the wrong tool for the job, just as it is the wrong tool for proving Fermat’s Last Theorem. You need a priori proofs to describe economics, just as the Austrian School has always maintained.
To illustrate the superiority of the Austrian approach, compare it to the mathematician who does the work of figuring out, logically, why something is necessarily always true, and goes about writing the steps of logic required to reach that conclusion. In both cases, you start with laws that are self-evident, proceed through logic to a series of conclusions that must be true, if our first laws are true, and end at good theory that consistently instructs us about the world we live in. The benefits of this approach, both in economics and in math, are manifold and throughout technology, industry, and leisure.
Book Review: The Arkadians by Lloyd Alexander
When you hold a clearance sale, the party's over.
It is a race, and I am winning!
The B-I-B-L-E.
Obviously, no one of us can know his heart or that of any of his children, but he leads his essay with the anecdote of his third son attempting to read through the Bible while in bootcamp for the Army. Sadly, he did not finish it, but perhaps he will return to it later. I was struck, though, by the fact that it was something he had not even attempted until then.
With what Mr Saltzman goes on to write, I think one may infer that his children did not receive a great deal of encouragement to spend time in the Scriptures. And what then of his parishioners? Do they receive the proper encouragement? I hope so; it seems a terrible thing to wish, but perhaps this is an instance (sadly all to common with preachers) where a man of God follows in the footsteps of Eli.
But what I really wanted to write about...
Wednesday, May 25, 2011
Do. Not. Want.
Exhibit A.
Really, BR? Really? Is no where safe from the insidious grasp of politics? And that wasn't much of a hook to excuse the excursion, either. Yet another example of Jay Nordlinger's "Shut Up and Sing" phenomenon.
Tuesday, May 24, 2011
The wee turtles were too quick for me!
Be that as it may, hopefully this will not be a blog to sink into a slough of despond after a month. To that end, I shall talk about whatever I bloody well please, and if anyone cavils please refer to the address bar at the top of your browser. Suggestions from any corner are welcome; rules, FAQs, info about, etc to come shortly.